Sport Picks

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Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Olivares C.
46'
Sub
Villar E. In: Campodonico R.
Out: Villar E.
58'
Sub
Magallanes P. In: Canela Torres J. J.
Out: Magallanes P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sport Huancayo and Deportivo Garcilaso finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Huancayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sport Huancayo
17%
Draws
13%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sport Huancayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Huancayo's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Deportivo Garcilaso have produced (1.38).
  • Sport Huancayo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Huancayo Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:3
Jul 19, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Feb 5, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Huancayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lujan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caballero F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo Garcilaso Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivares C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Huancayo 77 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Huancayo Deportivo Garcilaso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Huancayo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Deportivo Garcilaso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sport Huancayo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Huancayo VS Deportivo Garcilaso
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Huancayo

(Home)
25 Jul
Sport Huancayo
2 : 0
Atletico Grau
20 Jul
A. Lima
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo
11 Jul
Sport Huancayo
3 : 1
Los Chankas
26 Jun
Sport Huancayo
1 : 0
AD Tarma
21 Jun
Union Minas
1 : 2
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Away)
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Binacional
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 0
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)