Sport Picks

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Sport Recife vs CA Porto

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2024 Arena Pernambuco
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife play CA Porto in the Pernambucano 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Recife averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. CA Porto averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Recife won 3, CA Porto won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 17, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Sport Recife and 0.81 for CA Porto. This points to a Sport Recife double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sport Recife
35%
Draws
19%
CA Porto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sport Recife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Sport Recife picked up more points recently compared to CA Porto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 26%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife CA Porto
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 10 13
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.34 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs CA Porto
1:0
Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Sport Recife vs CA Porto
0:0
Feb 8, 2023 Pernambucano
CA Porto vs Sport Recife
0:0
Mar 22, 2014 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs CA Porto
1:0
Feb 20, 2014 Pernambucano
CA Porto vs Sport Recife
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CA Porto Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 47 / 100
CA Porto 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife CA Porto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sport Recife or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Recife attacking → ← attacking CA Porto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

CA Porto let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Sport Recife went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CA Porto lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 28
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sport Recife970216:721
2Retro962116:320
3Nautico962112:420
4Santa Cruz961216:719
5Central SC933314:1512
6Afogados da Ingazeira931513:2110
7Maguary924312:1010
8Petrolina92439:1010
9CA Porto91089:233
10Flamengo Arcoverde90188:251