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Sport Recife vs Criciuma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife host Criciuma in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sport Recife at 1.41 goals for, 1.17 against; Criciuma at 1.04 for, 0.82 against. Head-to-head, Sport Recife have won 0 to Criciuma's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.19) back Criciuma to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sport Recife
15%
Draws
40%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Criciuma come out ahead of Sport Recife on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Criciuma taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 20%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Criciuma
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Criciuma
3:3
May 25, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:0
Aug 3, 2022 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Criciuma
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 28 / 100
Criciuma 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sport Recife remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Criciuma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Criciuma
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife

(Home)
11 Oct
Atletico GO
1 : 1
Sport Recife
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2
Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Criciuma

(Away)
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2
Criciuma
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 33 18 7 8 46:31 61
2 Novorizontino 33 17 9 7 59:28 60
3 EC Juventude 33 17 9 7 39:21 60
4 Fortaleza 34 16 12 6 41:29 60
5 Criciuma 33 16 8 9 34:28 56
6 Atletico GO 34 14 12 8 42:32 54
7 CRB 33 15 7 11 51:47 52
8 Sport Recife 34 13 12 9 45:37 51
9 Goias 33 14 6 13 34:40 48
10 Operario-PR 33 13 9 11 44:45 48
11 Cuiaba 33 11 14 8 32:26 47
12 Sao Bernardo 33 12 10 11 46:36 46
13 Athletic Club 33 10 13 10 40:39 43
14 Nautico 33 11 9 13 39:42 42
15 Ceara 33 11 9 13 35:40 42
16 Botafogo SP 33 11 8 14 37:38 41
17 Avai 33 10 6 17 33:43 36
18 Londrina 33 7 8 18 42:49 29
19 America MG 33 4 5 24 21:54 17
20 Ponte Preta 34 3 5 26 19:74 14
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)