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Sport Recife vs Goias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife host Goias in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sport Recife have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Goias's 1.03 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Goias slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.44, favoring Goias. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sport Recife
30%
Draws
43%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goias come out ahead of Sport Recife on wins alone.
  • Model gives Goias a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 16%
Goias Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Goias
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Sport Recife
1:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Goias
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Sport Recife
3:0
Dec 26, 2020 Serie A
Goias vs Sport Recife
1:0
Sep 6, 2020 Serie A
Sport Recife vs Goias
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 23 / 100
Goias 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Goias has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Sport Recife remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Goias
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife

(Home)
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1
Sport Recife
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Criciuma
16 Oct
Sport Recife
0 : 2
Fortaleza
11 Oct
Atletico GO
1 : 1
Sport Recife
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

Goias

(Away)
02 Nov
Goias
2 : 1
CRB
27 Oct
Ceara
0 : 2
Goias
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0
Nautico
11 Oct
Operario-PR
0 : 2
Goias
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
12 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)