Sport Picks

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Sport Recife vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife host Operario-PR in the Serie B. Operario-PR go into this one as the clear favorite. Sport Recife have averaged 1 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Operario-PR's 1.38 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Sport Recife slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Operario-PR. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sport Recife
28%
Draws
50%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Operario-PR average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Sport Recife's 1.
  • Model gives Operario-PR a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 20%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Operario-PR
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Sport Recife
2:1
Oct 17, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Operario-PR
1:2
Oct 28, 2022 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Operario-PR
5:1
Jul 14, 2022 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Sport Recife
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Operario-PR
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 24 / 100
Operario-PR 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Operario-PR

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OPE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sport Recife scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Sport Recife has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Operario-PR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Operario-PR
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Novorizontino1686227:1430
4EC Juventude1785417:829
5Fortaleza1684420:1628
6Operario-PR1684420:1728
7Sport Recife1768321:1526
8Sao Bernardo1674521:1425
9Goias1673616:2124
10Cuiaba1658312:923
11Athletic Club1657416:1622
12Nautico1663721:1921
13Atletico GO1656518:1921
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1654724:2919
16Londrina1653824:2418
17Ceara1645715:2017
18Avai1634916:2413
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG16131210:276