Sport Picks

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Sport Recife vs Retro

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Luiz Beserra
8' Event
Ramon Menezes
18' Event
Diego Guerra

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife in this Pernambucano matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Recife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sport Recife
44%
Draws
20%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Retro haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Pernambucano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sport Recife have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 22%
Retro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Retro
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sport Recife vs Retro
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
3:2
Feb 12, 2026 Pernambucano
Retro vs Sport Recife
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
2:0
Apr 3, 2025 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramon Menezes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benevenuto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Guerra
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 37 / 100
Retro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Retro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Sport Recife scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sport Recife has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Retro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nautico-
TBD-
Santa Cruz3
Decisao1
Sport Recife-
TBD-
Retro3
Maguary2
Semi-finals
Nautico3
Santa Cruz0
Sport Recife4
Retro2
Final
Nautico3
Sport Recife6