Sport Picks
Sport Recife vs Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife 
Match Events
10'
10'
Soso M.
17'
17'
Neto Pessoa
Assist: Chrystian Barletta
39'
39'
Chrystian Barletta
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Sport Recife and Sao Bernardo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Recife.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sao Bernardo haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 17%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife | Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Sao Bernardo
2:1
Jun 14, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Sport Recife
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Neto Pessoa
1 Goals Assists Leader Patrick de Paula
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sport Recife 36 / 100
Sao Bernardo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sport Recife Sao Bernardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sport Recife found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Sao Bernardo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Sport Recife went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sport Recife VS Sao Bernardo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sport Recife
(Home) 06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0 America MG
14 Aug
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Londrina
Page 1 of 3
Sao Bernardo
(Away) 06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0 Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
28 Aug
Goias
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
