Sport Picks

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Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Copa Primera Estadio Independencia, Estelí
Sport Sebaco Logo

Sport Sebaco

1 - 1
FT
Diriangen Logo

Diriangen

Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ortega D.
84' Event
Rojas H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Sport Sebaco
20%
Draws
74%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Diriangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Diriangen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Diriangen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Diriangen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 10%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco Diriangen
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 11 24
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.19 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:1
Jul 12, 2026 Copa Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 10 / 100
Diriangen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Sebaco scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Diriangen let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Sport Sebaco remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS Diriangen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sebaco

(Home)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
22 Aug
Managua FC
6 : 1
Sport Sebaco
Page 1 of 7

Diriangen

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen 2
Sport Sebaco 3
Matagalpa 5
Jalapa 4
Xilotepelt 0
Esteli 3
Rancho Santana 2
Managua FC 5
Semi-finals
Sport Sebaco -
Matagalpa -
Esteli -
Managua FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -