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Sport Sebaco vs Jalapa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Sebaco host Jalapa in the Liga Primera. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sport Sebaco at 1.34 goals for, 1.41 against; Jalapa at 1.21 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Jalapa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Jalapa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sport Sebaco
35%
Draws
19%
Jalapa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sport Sebaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Jalapa haven't matched Sport Sebaco's recent run of results.
  • Sport Sebaco are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 18%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco Jalapa
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Sport Sebaco
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Sport Sebaco
1:0
Feb 5, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Jalapa
0:0
Oct 15, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Jalapa
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Sport Sebaco
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 58 / 100
Jalapa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco Jalapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sebaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Sebaco's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jalapa conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sport Sebaco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS Jalapa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sebaco

(Home)
15 Oct
Sport Sebaco
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
11 Oct
San Marcos
0 : 2
Sport Sebaco
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
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Jalapa

(Away)
16 Oct
Esteli
1 : 1
Jalapa
11 Oct
Jalapa
0 : 1
Managua FC
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 12 10 2 0 37:12 32
2 Diriangen 12 9 2 1 27:12 29
3 Esteli 12 6 4 2 22:9 22
4 UNAN-Managua 12 6 3 3 14:11 21
5 Sport Sebaco 11 5 2 4 13:17 17
6 Walter Ferreti 12 4 2 6 23:21 14
7 San Marcos 12 3 1 8 11:21 10
8 Matagalpa 11 3 0 8 6:25 9
9 Jalapa 12 1 3 8 7:18 6
10 Rancho Santana 12 1 3 8 9:23 6
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)