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Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Sebaco host Rancho Santana in the Liga Primera. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sport Sebaco at 1.32 goals for, 1.46 against; Rancho Santana at 1 for, 2.24 against. Head-to-head, Sport Sebaco have won 5 to Rancho Santana's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.44, favoring Sport Sebaco. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sport Sebaco
35%
Draws
39%
Rancho Santana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rancho Santana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport Sebaco lately — more wins on the board than Rancho Santana.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Sport Sebaco taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sport Sebaco have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 16%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco Rancho Santana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
0:3
Feb 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 48 / 100
Rancho Santana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco Rancho Santana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sebaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rancho Santana has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sport Sebaco scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sport Sebaco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS Rancho Santana
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sebaco

(Home)
11 Oct
San Marcos
0 : 2
Sport Sebaco
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
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Rancho Santana

(Away)
12 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 11 9 2 0 34:10 29
2 Diriangen 11 8 2 1 24:11 26
3 Esteli 11 6 3 2 21:8 21
4 UNAN-Managua 11 6 3 2 13:8 21
5 Sport Sebaco 10 4 2 4 11:17 14
6 Walter Ferreti 11 3 2 6 18:20 11
7 San Marcos 11 3 1 7 9:18 10
8 Matagalpa 10 3 0 7 5:20 9
9 Rancho Santana 11 1 3 7 9:21 6
10 Jalapa 11 1 2 8 6:17 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)