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Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Sebaco play Rancho Santana in the Liga Primera 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Sebaco averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Rancho Santana averaged 1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Sebaco won 4, Rancho Santana won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Sport Sebaco and 1.31 for Rancho Santana. This points to a Sport Sebaco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sport Sebaco
39%
Draws
31%
Rancho Santana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Sebaco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rancho Santana.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Primera 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 18%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco Rancho Santana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
0:3
Feb 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
1:2
Apr 30, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rancho Santana Compare

Top Goalscorer Guarch T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 31 / 100
Rancho Santana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco Rancho Santana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Sebaco scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Rancho Santana let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sport Sebaco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rancho Santana lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS Rancho Santana
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315