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Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Treminio A.
53' Event
Campos M.
72' Event
Arana B.

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAN-Managua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sport Sebaco
15%
Draws
76%
UNAN-Managua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • UNAN-Managua have won more games recently than Sport Sebaco.
  • Model gives UNAN-Managua a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sport Sebaco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 20%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco UNAN-Managua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Sport Sebaco
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
4:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
3:1
Sep 15, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Sport Sebaco
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Treminio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arana B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 10 / 100
UNAN-Managua 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco UNAN-Managua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sport Sebaco scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

UNAN-Managua let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sport Sebaco stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS UNAN-Managua
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sebaco

(Home)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
22 Aug
Managua FC
6 : 1
Sport Sebaco
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UNAN-Managua

(Away)
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 9 7 2 0 20:6 23
3 Esteli 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 UNAN-Managua 9 5 2 2 11:7 17
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 9 3 1 5 8:14 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)