Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Sinop vs Luverdense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Bady

AI Match Summary

Luverdense in this Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luverdense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sport Sinop
39%
Draws
31%
Luverdense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luverdense lately — more wins on the board than Sport Sinop.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Luverdense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sinop Luverdense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Sport Sinop
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
1:2
Feb 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sinop Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bady
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sinop 41 / 100
Luverdense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sinop Luverdense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sport Sinop remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sport Sinop scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Luverdense has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sinop VS Luverdense
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sinop

(Home)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
Page 1 of 6

Luverdense

(Away)
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luverdense95227:317
2Mixto943213:415
3Operario VG94239:914
4Sport Sinop93426:413
5Cuiaba93338:812
6Nova Mutum EC933313:1512
7Chapada932412:1311
8Uniao Rondonopolis92437:710
9Primavera AC91716:910
10Várzea Grande EC91265:145
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)