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Stadium Background

Sport Sinop vs Luverdense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Estadio Massami Uriu (Gigante), Sinop
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Everton Heleno
46'
Sub
Lucas Alves In: Beto
Out: Lucas Alves
47' Event
Marco Antonio

AI Match Summary

Luverdense in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luverdense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sport Sinop
35%
Draws
28%
Luverdense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Luverdense have won more games recently than Sport Sinop.
  • Win probability leans Sport Sinop's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Luverdense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sinop Luverdense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Sport Sinop
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
1:2
Feb 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sinop Compare

Top Goalscorer Marco Antonio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Heleno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lazaro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sinop 68 / 100
Luverdense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sinop Luverdense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sport Sinop stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sport Sinop scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Luverdense has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sinop VS Luverdense
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sinop

(Home)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
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Luverdense

(Away)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 Cuiaba 8 4 4 0 18:5 16
3 Operario VG 8 4 4 0 11:4 16
4 Primavera AC 8 3 4 1 12:6 13
5 Nova Mutum EC 8 3 1 4 7:18 10
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Luverdense 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
8 Sport Sinop 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
9 Academia 8 0 1 7 2:11 1
10 Caceres 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)