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Sport Sinop vs Santa Cruz MT

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Sport Sinop host Santa Cruz MT in the Matogrossense 2 2024. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sport Sinop at 0.5 goals for, 0.5 against; Santa Cruz MT at 1 for, 0.38 against. Past meetings favor Sport Sinop slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2024, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.44 - 0.75) back Sport Sinop to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sport Sinop
28%
Draws
22%
Santa Cruz MT
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sport Sinop has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Cruz MT.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Sport Sinop.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Matogrossense 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sinop Santa Cruz MT
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Sport Sinop vs Santa Cruz MT
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sinop 49 / 100
Santa Cruz MT 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sinop Santa Cruz MT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Sinop scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Santa Cruz MT let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sport Sinop went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz MT lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sinop VS Santa Cruz MT
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rondonopolis EC532019:511
2Acao43019:69
3Pocone42117:47
4Várzea Grande EC41126:74
5Atletico MT40040:100
6Paulistano FC10010:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC54108:313
2Gremio Sorriso53208:311
3Caceres52126:67
4Sport Sinop52036:66
5Campo Novo51046:103
6Santa Cruz MT51043:93