Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Souissi S.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Affes R.
67'
67'
Souissi S.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sporting Ben Arous and AS Agareb finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Agareb.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Agareb
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AS Agareb come out ahead of Sporting Ben Arous on wins alone.
- 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors AS Agareb here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sporting Ben Arous Clean Sheet 68%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Ben Arous | AS Agareb |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs AS Agareb
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tunisia Cup
AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous
3:2
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Ben Arous 41 / 100
AS Agareb 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Ben Arous AS Agareb
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Ben Arous Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Attacking prowess: Sporting Ben Arous scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
AS Agareb has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Sporting Ben Arous remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Ben Arous VS AS Agareb
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Ben Arous
(Home) 11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
28 Mar
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 Msaken
22 Feb
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 0 BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 3
AS Agareb
(Away) 11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0 BS Bouhajla
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
29 Mar
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 AS Agareb
22 Feb
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
