Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Ben Arous vs Chebba

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Aouinet S.
81' Event
Nouioui M.

AI Match Summary

Sporting Ben Arous in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Ben Arous.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sporting Ben Arous
20%
Draws
57%
Chebba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chebba lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Ben Arous.
  • Sporting Ben Arous are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sporting Ben Arous Clean Sheet 68%
Chebba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Ben Arous Chebba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Sporting Ben Arous
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Chebba
2:0
Mar 15, 2020 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs Sporting Ben Arous
3:1
Apr 6, 2019 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Sporting Ben Arous
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Chebba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Ben Arous Compare

Top Goalscorer Aouinet S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nouioui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chebba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Ben Arous 46 / 100
Chebba 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Ben Arous Chebba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Ben Arous scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Chebba has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sporting Ben Arous stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Ben Arous VS Chebba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Ben Arous

(Home)
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1
AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6

Chebba

(Away)
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1
Chebba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)