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Sporting Cascades vs Maya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Banfora, Banfora
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sidibe S.
15' Event
Zongo M.
43' Event
Ballo A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Sporting Cascades and Maya finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Cascades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sporting Cascades
15%
Draws
34%
Maya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cascades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Cascades carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sporting Cascades a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sporting Cascades Clean Sheet 68%
Maya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cascades Maya
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 10 1
Draws 10 2
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.03 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs Maya
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cascades Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zongo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Maya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sana S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cascades 50 / 100
Maya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cascades Maya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cascades Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sporting Cascades found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Maya conceded in 71% of 7 recent games.

Maya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cascades VS Maya
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cascades

(Home)
01 Nov
Salitas
1 : 2
Sporting Cascades
24 Oct
Sporting Cascades
4 : 1
Maya
17 Oct
Rahimo
3 : 1
Sporting Cascades
10 Oct
Sporting Cascades
0 : 3
Sonabel Ouagadougou
04 Oct
Sporting Cascades
2 : 3
FocuSport
Page 1 of 6

Maya

(Away)
01 Nov
Maya
0 : 0
Rahimo
24 Oct
Sporting Cascades
4 : 1
Maya
18 Oct
Maya
1 : 2
FocuSport
12 Oct
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Maya
04 Oct
Maya
1 : 0
CFFEB
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 USFA 7 5 1 1 9:2 16
3 Vitesse 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
4 FocuSport 7 5 0 2 13:12 15
5 AS Douanes 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
6 Real Du Faso 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
7 CFFEB 7 3 2 2 10:4 11
8 ASFA Yennega 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Sporting Cascades 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 ASF Dioulasso 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
11 Majestic 7 2 1 4 4:8 7
12 Sonabel Ouagadougou 7 2 0 5 7:7 6
13 Maya 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
14 US Comoe 7 1 1 5 3:9 4
15 Salitas 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
16 Kadiogo 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)