Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting CP B vs Benfica B

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Banjaqui D.
57'
Couto M.
59'
Sub
Rayan Lucas In: Felicissimo E.
Out: Rayan Lucas

AI Match Summary

Benfica B in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sporting CP B
15%
Draws
37%
Benfica B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting CP B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benfica B lately — more wins on the board than Sporting CP B.
  • Model gives Sporting CP B a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Benfica B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 19%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP B Benfica B
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 9
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Benfica B
0:1
Dec 22, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Sporting CP B
1:0
Apr 23, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Benfica B
1:2
Dec 10, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Sporting CP B
2:1
May 5, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Benfica B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Benfica B Compare

Top Goalscorer Prioste D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP B 42 / 100
Benfica B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP B Benfica B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica B has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sporting CP B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sporting CP B found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP B VS Benfica B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP B

(Home)
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3
Sporting CP B
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0
Sporting CP B
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
Page 1 of 7

Benfica B

(Away)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 41:42 51
6 Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 50
7 Leixoes 34 15 5 14 46:55 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 43:44 44
11 FC Felgueiras 34 11 11 12 34:38 44
12 Lusitania FC 34 11 10 13 44:52 43
13 Sporting CP B 34 13 3 18 41:34 42
14 Penafiel 34 11 8 15 37:39 41
15 Portimonense 34 11 7 16 39:49 40
16 SC Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 40
17 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 12 13 34:48 39
18 Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 34
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)