Sport Picks
Sporting CP B vs Lusitania FC
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete 
Match Events
17'
17'
Faria B.
26'
26'
Nel R.
Assist: Sanha M.
40'
40'
Dias R.
AI Match Summary
Lusitania FC in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitania FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusitania FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lusitania FC have won more games recently than Sporting CP B.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 23%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP B | Lusitania FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Lusitania FC
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Sporting CP B
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Lusitania FC
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3
Lusitania FC vs Sporting CP B
2:1
Feb 7, 2025 Liga 3
Sporting CP B vs Lusitania FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP B Compare
Top Goalscorer Nel R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Lusitania FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Soares G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP B 37 / 100
Lusitania FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP B Lusitania FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lusitania FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lusitania FC conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Sporting CP B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP B scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP B VS Lusitania FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP B
(Home) 14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3 Sporting CP B
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1 SC Farense
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0 Chaves
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1 SC Farense
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0 Chaves
09 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1 FC Porto B
01 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1 Benfica B
Page 1 of 3
Lusitania FC
(Away) 20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1 AFS
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2 Lusitania FC
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2 Torreense
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2 Lusitania FC
16 Aug
Amarante FC
0 : 1 Lusitania FC
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 12 | AFS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)
