Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting CP B vs Oliveirense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Goncalves F.
Assist: Couto M.
46'
Sub
Nagata K. In: Brito T.
Out: Nagata K.
46'
Sub
Anjos L. In: Cardoso P.
Out: Anjos L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Sporting CP B and Oliveirense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting CP B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sporting CP B
35%
Draws
32%
Oliveirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Oliveirense haven't matched Sporting CP B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sporting CP B's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP B Oliveirense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Oliveirense
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Sporting CP B
1:0
Apr 7, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Sporting CP B
4:2
Nov 5, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Oliveirense
2:0
Mar 20, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Oliveirense
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP B Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanlongo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Oliveirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP B 59 / 100
Oliveirense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP B Oliveirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Oliveirense let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sporting CP B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sporting CP B's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP B VS Oliveirense
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP B

(Home)
09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1
Sporting CP B
01 Aug
Alverca
1 : 0
Sporting CP B
18 Jul
SC Farense
1 : 1
Sporting CP B
16 May
Academico Viseu
0 : 0
Sporting CP B
09 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1
FC Porto B
Page 1 of 6

Oliveirense

(Away)
08 Aug
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Louletano
17 May
Oliveirense
1 : 5
FC Felgueiras
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2
Oliveirense
02 May
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
27 Apr
Chaves
2 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 41:42 51
6 Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 50
7 Leixoes 34 15 5 14 46:55 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 43:44 44
11 FC Felgueiras 34 11 11 12 34:38 44
12 Lusitania FC 34 11 10 13 44:52 43
13 Sporting CP B 34 13 3 18 41:34 42
14 Penafiel 34 11 8 15 37:39 41
15 Portimonense 34 11 7 16 39:49 40
16 SC Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 40
17 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 12 13 34:48 39
18 Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 34
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)