Sport Picks
Sporting CP B vs Penafiel
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Sporting CP B and Penafiel finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penafiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Penafiel carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sporting CP B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Penafiel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP B | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP B Compare
Penafiel Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Penafiel has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Penafiel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP B scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP B
(Home)Penafiel
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |