Sport Picks
Sporting CP B vs Penafiel
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete 
Match Events
16'
16'
Pedro Sa
21'
21'
Cardoso P.
22'
22'
Alloh T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Sporting CP B and Penafiel finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penafiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penafiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Penafiel carry the better recent record into this one.
- Penafiel are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Penafiel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 24%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP B | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Penafiel
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B
1:1
Mar 14, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Penafiel
3:4
Oct 21, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP B Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardoso P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Penafiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP B 13 / 100
Penafiel 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP B Penafiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penafiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Penafiel has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Sporting CP B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP B scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP B VS Penafiel
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP B
(Home) 14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3 Sporting CP B
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1 SC Farense
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0 Chaves
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1 SC Farense
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0 Chaves
09 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1 FC Porto B
01 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1 Benfica B
Page 1 of 3
Penafiel
(Away) 25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2 Dep. A Coruna
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1 Academica
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
15 Aug
Torreense
2 : 2 Penafiel
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0 Penafiel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
