Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting CP U19 vs Arsenal U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Silva G.
Assist: Mendonca M.
21' Event
Santos D.
Assist: Silva G.
54'
Silva G.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 game between Sporting CP U19 and Arsenal U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting CP U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sporting CP U19
15%
Draws
27%
Arsenal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting CP U19 come out ahead of Arsenal U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sporting CP U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP U19 Arsenal U19
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Sporting CP U19 vs Arsenal U19
3:0
Mar 31, 2013 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Arsenal U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP U19 83 / 100
Arsenal U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP U19 Arsenal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP U19 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Arsenal U19 let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Sporting CP U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP U19 VS Arsenal U19
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP U19

(Home)
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 7

Arsenal U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)