Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting CP U19 vs Marseille U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Sporting CP U19 Logo

Sporting CP U19

2 - 1
FT
Marseille U19 Logo

Marseille U19

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Goncalves F.
Assist: da Silva Mendes I.
14'
Bafdili Z.
26'
Mmadi T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sporting CP U19
30%
Draws
27%
Marseille U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting CP U19 lately — more wins on the board than Marseille U19.
  • Sporting CP U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sporting CP U19 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Marseille U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP U19 Marseille U19
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Sporting CP U19 vs Marseille U19
2:1
Oct 12, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Sporting CP U19 vs Marseille U19
1:1
Oct 4, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Marseille U19 vs Sporting CP U19
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simao P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Marseille U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakola D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP U19 48 / 100
Marseille U19 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP U19 Marseille U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP U19's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Marseille U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Sporting CP U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP U19 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP U19

(Home)
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1
Sporting CP U19
08 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 0
Casa Pia U19
Page 1 of 7

Marseille U19

(Away)
03 Feb
Real Madrid U19
5 : 2
Marseille U19
09 Dec
Royale Union SG U19
1 : 4
Marseille U19
25 Nov
Marseille U19
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U19
05 Nov
Marseille U19
0 : 0
Atalanta U19
22 Oct
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Marseille U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)