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Sporting CP vs LASK Linz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Suarez L.
(Penalty)
15' Event
Lang C.
Assist: Molgaard Jorgensen K. P.
33'
Lang C.

AI Match Summary

LASK Linz in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored LASK Linz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sporting CP
20%
Draws
42%
LASK Linz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: LASK Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LASK Linz lately — more wins on the board than Sporting CP.
  • Sporting CP are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • LASK Linz have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 14%
LASK Linz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP LASK Linz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 19
Draws 7 1
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.5 2.86
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Champions League
Sporting CP vs LASK Linz
2:3
Oct 1, 2020 Europa League
Sporting CP vs LASK Linz
1:4
Dec 12, 2019 Europa League
LASK Linz vs Sporting CP
3:0
Oct 3, 2019 Europa League
Sporting CP vs LASK Linz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

LASK Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Lang C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalajdzic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP 48 / 100
LASK Linz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP LASK Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting CP scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: LASK Linz conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sporting CP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP VS LASK Linz
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP

(Home)
21 Oct
Sporting CP
2 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Oct
Lens
0 : 2
Sporting CP
09 Oct
Braga
1 : 3
Sporting CP
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
Page 1 of 6

LASK Linz

(Away)
21 Oct
Sporting CP
2 : 3
LASK Linz
17 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
LASK Linz
14 Oct
LASK Linz
3 : 6
Liverpool
11 Oct
LASK Linz
0 : 2
Rapid Vienna
02 Oct
LASK Linz
2 : 1
First Vienna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 3 3 0 0 14:5 9
2 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
3 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 12:7 9
4 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
5 Betis 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
6 VfB Stuttgart 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
7 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
8 Barcelona 3 2 0 1 11:6 6
9 Como 3 2 0 1 10:5 6
10 Manchester City 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
11 Club Brugge 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
12 Sporting CP 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
13 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
14 Bayern Munich 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
15 AS Roma 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16 Atl. Madrid 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
17 Shakhtar 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
18 PSV 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
19 Villarreal 3 1 0 2 8:8 3
20 Manchester United 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
21 Inter 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
22 Napoli 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
23 Galatasaray 3 1 0 2 6:9 3
24 LASK Linz 3 1 0 2 6:9 3
25 Sabah FC 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
26 Feyenoord 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
27 Lens 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
28 Bodo/Glimt 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
29 AEK 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
30 RB Leipzig 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
31 Fenerbahce 3 0 2 1 3:9 2
32 Slavia Prague 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
33 Viking 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
34 FC Porto 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
35 Lille 3 0 0 3 4:10 0
36 Slovan Bratislava 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)