Sport Picks
Sporting CP vs Maritimo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
League Cup Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 5-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sporting CP have averaged 2.52 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Maritimo's 1.14 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Sporting CP slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 14, 2023, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sporting CP. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sporting CP carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sporting CP a 51% chance of winning this.
- Sporting CP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sporting CP, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.52 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting CP's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Sporting CP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Maritimo conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
