Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal vs 2 de Mayo

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal Logo

Sporting Cristal

Wed, Feb 25, 2026
1 - 0
12:30 AM
2 de Mayo Logo

2 de Mayo

Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Davalos Valdez V.
46'
Sub
Alfonso E. In: Ruiz Diaz R.
Out: Alfonso E.
57'
Cristiano
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sporting Cristal
20%
Draws
38%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sporting Cristal at 1.52 per game, 2 de Mayo at 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Cristal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Sporting Cristal vs 2 de Mayo
1:0
Feb 18, 2026 Copa Libertadores
2 de Mayo vs Sporting Cristal
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 77 / 100
2 de Mayo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

2 de Mayo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Sporting Cristal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS 2 de Mayo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1
Sporting Cristal
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

2 de Mayo

(Away)
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2
2 de Mayo
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
29 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
2 de Mayo
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juventud 5
U. Catolica 4
TBD -
Guarani -
Liverpool M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Ind. Medellin -
The Strongest 2
Dep. Tachira 3
TBD -
Deportes Tolima -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
2 de Mayo 2
A. Lima 1
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
Carabobo -
TBD -
TBD -
Huachipato -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Argentinos Jrs -
Nacional Potosi -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Semi-finals
Juventud 2
Guarani 1
Liverpool M. 1
Ind. Medellin 2
Dep. Tachira 1
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 3
Bahia 2
2 de Mayo 2
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 3
Huachipato 1
Barcelona SC 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Nacional Potosi 1
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Juventud 2
Ind. Medellin 3
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 1
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 2
Barcelona SC 2
Botafogo RJ 1