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Sporting Cristal vs A. Lima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal host A. Lima in the Liga 1. This one's hard to separate. A. Lima have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Sporting Cristal have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Sporting Cristal have won 1 to A. Lima's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.13) back Sporting Cristal to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sporting Cristal
15%
Draws
32%
A. Lima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than A. Lima.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 20%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal A. Lima
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sporting Cristal
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sporting Cristal
3:4
Dec 3, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs A. Lima
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sporting Cristal
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs A. Lima
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 85 / 100
A. Lima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal A. Lima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Cristal scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sporting Cristal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

A. Lima let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS A. Lima
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)
18 Oct
Sporting Cristal
4 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
11 Oct
Cajamarca
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6

A. Lima

(Away)
18 Oct
A. Lima
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 12 8 1 3 25:12 25
2 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
3 Universitario de Deportes 12 7 3 2 25:19 24
4 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
5 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
7 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
8 Alianza Atl. 12 7 1 4 24:22 22
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Cienciano 12 4 2 6 15:18 14
13 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
14 FC Cajamarca 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 12 2 4 6 20:23 10
16 Moquegua 12 2 4 6 8:19 10
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 12 0 2 10 11:26 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)