Sport Picks
AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal
Peru
Copa de la Liga Estadio Unión Tarma, Tarma 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa de la Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: AD Tarma at 1.21 goals for, 1.46 against; Sporting Cristal at 1.62 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Sporting Cristal slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.88 - 2.19) back Sporting Cristal to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than AD Tarma.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Cristal taking it.
- Sporting Cristal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor AD Tarma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Tarma | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: AD Tarma scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Sporting Cristal conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: AD Tarma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
