Sport Picks
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau Prediction & H2H Stats
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 
Match Events
3'
3'
Lutiger R.
Assist: Yotun Y.
26'
26'
Iberico L.
Assist: Gonzalez S.
39'
39'
Guarderas R.
AI Match Summary
Sporting Cristal in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Cristal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than Atletico Grau.
- Model gives Sporting Cristal a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Cristal | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau
3:1
Apr 22, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal
4:1
Nov 19, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Cristal Compare
Top Goalscorer Lutiger R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Iberico L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Atletico Grau Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Cristal 95 / 100
Atletico Grau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Cristal Atletico Grau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Cristal scored in 82% of their last 33 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Sporting Cristal stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Atletico Grau let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Cristal VS Atletico Grau
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Cristal
(Home) 01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 7
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 4
Atletico Grau
(Away) 19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3 Atletico Grau
08 Aug
Juan Pablo II
0 : 0 Atletico Grau
25 Jul
Sport Huancayo
2 : 0 Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
