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Sporting Cristal vs Bragantino Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Yotun Y.
45'
Mosquera H.
46'
Sub
Caue Nascimento In: Hurtado A.
Out: Caue Nascimento

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Sporting Cristal
15%
Draws
18%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than Bragantino.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Cristal taking it.
  • Sporting Cristal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal Bragantino
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal
1:0
Jul 23, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Sporting Cristal vs Bragantino
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 95 / 100
Bragantino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal Bragantino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Cristal scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Sporting Cristal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bragantino has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Bragantino's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Bragantino
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6

Bragantino

(Away)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Bragantino
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -