Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lastre E.
Assist: Chipao R.
17'
Enciso C.
46' Event
Mejia C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sporting Cristal and Moquegua finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moquegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sporting Cristal
20%
Draws
38%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Cristal come out ahead of Moquegua on wins alone.
  • Sporting Cristal are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 20%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal Moquegua
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Moquegua
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Lastre E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mejia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 42 / 100
Moquegua 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Sporting Cristal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Moquegua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Moquegua
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)
23 Jul
Sporting Cristal
0 : 0
Bragantino
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Jul
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1
Tacna Heroica
27 Jun
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0
Union Comercio
21 Jun
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 7

Moquegua

(Away)
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
FBC Melgar
0 : 0
Moquegua
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2
Tacna Heroica
29 May
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)