Sport Picks

Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Union Comercio

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal play Union Comercio in the Copa de la Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting Cristal averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Union Comercio averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Cristal won 5, Union Comercio won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Sporting Cristal and 1.44 for Union Comercio. This points to a Union Comercio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sporting Cristal

20%

Draws

38%

Union Comercio

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Union Comercio has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sporting Cristal.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Sporting Cristal.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa de la Liga provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 16%

Union Comercio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Cristal	Union Comercio
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	16
Draws	6	5
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.25	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.13	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Oct 27, 2024 Liga 1

Union Comercio vs Sporting Cristal

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

0:12

May 18, 2024 Liga 1

Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

5:1

Jul 2, 2023 Liga 1

Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

May 13, 2023 Liga 1

Union Comercio vs Sporting Cristal

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavara M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Avila I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Comercio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 41 / 100

Union Comercio 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Cristal Union Comercio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Union Comercio let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Sporting Cristal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Union Comercio lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Union Comercio

1.25 Goals Scored 0.75

2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Atl.	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
2	Carlos Mannucci	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	A. Lima	3	0	1	2	2:5	1
4	Cesar Vallejo	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ADA Jaen	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
2	Juan Pablo II	2	0	2	0	0:0	2
3	Comerciantes Unidos	2	0	1	1	0:2	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cajamarca	2	1	1	0	5:3	4
2	Llacuabamba	2	0	2	0	3:3	2
3	FC Cajamarca	2	0	1	1	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Grau	2	1	1	0	4:3	4
2	Pirata	2	1	0	1	4:3	3
3	Universitario de Deportes	2	0	1	1	1:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Huancayo	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	AD Tarma	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
3	Alianza Huanuco	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Union Minas	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cienciano	3	3	0	0	6:2	9
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Binacional	3	1	0	2	5:9	3
4	Cusco	3	0	1	2	4:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Los Chankas	2	2	0	4:0	6
2	Santos FC	2	1	1	2:4	3
3	Ayacucho	2	0	2	1:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moquegua	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
2	Tacna Heroica	2	1	0	1	5:5	3
3	FBC Melgar	2	0	1	1	2:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Boys	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	AD Cantolao	2	1	0	1	4:6	3
3	U. San Martin	2	0	1	1	5:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Comerciantes FC	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Union Comercio	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Estudiantil CNI	3	0	1	2	2:5	1