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Sporting de Alcazar CF vs Malaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa del Rey. Sporting de Alcazar CF go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Sporting de Alcazar CF at 1.5 goals for, 0.5 against; Malaga at 1.7 for, 1.47 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.19, favoring Sporting de Alcazar CF. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sporting de Alcazar CF
25%
Draws
35%
Malaga
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sporting de Alcazar CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Malaga have won more games recently than Sporting de Alcazar CF.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sporting de Alcazar CF taking it.
  • Malaga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sporting de Alcazar CF Clean Sheet 20%
Malaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting de Alcazar CF Malaga
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 13
Losses 0 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting de Alcazar CF 85 / 100
Malaga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting de Alcazar CF Malaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting de Alcazar CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting de Alcazar CF scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Malaga let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sporting de Alcazar CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Malaga registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting de Alcazar CF VS Malaga
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting de Alcazar CF

(Home)
04 Oct
Sporting de Alcazar CF
1 : 0
Talayuela
27 Sept
Talayuela
1 : 2
Sporting de Alcazar CF

Malaga

(Away)
09 Oct
Malaga
1 : 1
Espanyol
20 Sept
Getafe
1 : 0
Malaga
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
06 Sept
Malaga
0 : 0
Levante
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
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Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
TBD -
TBD -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
TBD -
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Zamora -
Real Avila -
TBD -
TBD -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
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UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
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Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
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Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 5
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Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
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Espanyol -
Varea -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
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Girona -
Pamplona -
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Eibar -
Utebo FC -
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Sabadell -
Pena -
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Huesca -
Tudelano -
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Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
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Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
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CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
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Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
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UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
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Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
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Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
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Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
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Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
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Levante -
Manacor -
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Villarreal -
Castellonense -
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TBD -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
TBD -
TBD -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
TBD -
TBD -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
TBD -
TBD -
Jaen -
Antequera -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
TBD -
Getafe -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
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Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
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Betis -
Trival Valderas -
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Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
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Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
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Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
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Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
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Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
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CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
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Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF -
Racing Santander -
Auriense -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
Espanyol -
Varea -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
Girona -
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar -
Elche -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana -
Getafe -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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1/32-finals
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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