Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Escaldes vs Esperanca

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Gomes R. In: Lemarie A.
Out: Gomes R.
37' Event
Ramirez B.
42' Event
Salguero L.

AI Match Summary

Esperanca in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sporting Escaldes
15%
Draws
85%
Esperanca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Esperanca have won more games recently than Sporting Escaldes.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Esperanca taking it.
  • Esperanca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esperanca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sporting Escaldes Clean Sheet 10%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Escaldes Esperanca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 29 17
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 4.87 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Sporting Escaldes
2:0
May 23, 2026 Primera Divisió
Sporting Escaldes vs Esperanca
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Salguero L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Esperanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nikiema E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Escaldes 10 / 100
Esperanca 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Escaldes Esperanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sporting Escaldes scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Esperanca has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Escaldes VS Esperanca
0.8 Goals Scored 1
3.2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 38%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Escaldes

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

Esperanca

(Away)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Esperanca 5
Sporting Escaldes 1