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Sporting FC vs Miguelense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Everson
62' Event
Kaike Bruno

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
27%
Miguelense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Miguelense haven't matched Sporting FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sporting FC a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Sporting FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting FC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting FC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 20%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Miguelense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Alagoano 2
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
2:0
May 10, 2026 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Sporting FC
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 Alagoano 2
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
4:1
Apr 16, 2017 Alagoano
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
3:1
Mar 29, 2017 Alagoano
Miguelense vs Sporting FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Everson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaike Bruno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Miguelense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 85 / 100
Miguelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Miguelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sporting FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sporting FC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Miguelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Miguelense
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Sporting FC
3 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6

Miguelense

(Away)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zumbi 1
Alianca 0
Sporting FC 5
Miguelense 0
Final
Zumbi 2
Sporting FC 4