Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Copa Costa Rica Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

64'
Sub
Lopez J. In: Taylor R.
Out: Lopez J.
64'
Sub
Hernandez J. In: Colindres D.
Out: Hernandez J.
64'
Sub
Alvarez P. In: Cole R.
Out: Alvarez P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
39%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting FC lately — more wins on the board than Puntarenas FC.
  • Win probability leans Sporting FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sporting FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Puntarenas FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC
1:2
Mar 25, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carballo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 95 / 100
Puntarenas FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting FC scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Puntarenas FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Sporting FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Puntarenas FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 7

Puntarenas FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Alajuelense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADR Cobano 4
Liberia 8
AD Rosario 1
ADR Jicaral 3
Saprissa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter San Carlos 1
Carmelita 3
San Carlos 1
Cariari Pococi 2
Herediano -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quepos FC 2
Zeledon 5
Escorpiones 3
Puntarenas FC 4
Sporting FC 3
CS Uruguay 0
Aserri 5
Guadalupe 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cartagines -
1/8-finals
Alajuelense -
TBD -
Liberia 1
ADR Jicaral 0
Saprissa -
TBD -
Carmelita 3
Cariari Pococi 1
Herediano -
TBD -
Zeledon 1
Puntarenas FC 2
Sporting FC 7
Guadalupe 2
TBD -
Cartagines -
Quarter-finals
Alajuelense 1
Liberia 4
Saprissa 10
Carmelita 2
Herediano 1
Puntarenas FC 3
Sporting FC 6
Cartagines 2
Semi-finals
Liberia 2
Saprissa 6
Puntarenas FC 2
Sporting FC 3
Final
Saprissa 3
Sporting FC 1