Sport Picks

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Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Copa Costa Rica Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting FC play Puntarenas FC in the Copa Costa Rica. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting FC averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Puntarenas FC averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting FC won 2, Puntarenas FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Sporting FC and 1.19 for Puntarenas FC. This points to a Sporting FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sporting FC
33%
Draws
27%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Sporting FC picked up more points recently compared to Puntarenas FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 20%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.15 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC
1:2
Mar 25, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carballo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 40 / 100
Puntarenas FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Puntarenas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sporting FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sporting FC attacking → ← attacking Puntarenas FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting FC scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Puntarenas FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sporting FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Puntarenas FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 31
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88