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Sporting FC vs San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Castillo G.
28'
George M.
37'
Diaz L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Sporting FC and San Carlos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sporting FC
39%
Draws
30%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting FC come out ahead of San Carlos on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 21%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC San Carlos
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs San Carlos
1:0
Jan 19, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
3:0
Sep 29, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs San Carlos
1:1
May 3, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs San Carlos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 32 / 100
San Carlos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC San Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Carlos conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

San Carlos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sporting FC's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS San Carlos
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714