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Sporting FC vs San Carlos Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Castillo Cespedes G.
28'
George Clayton M.
37'
Diaz L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Sporting FC and San Carlos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
42%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting FC come out ahead of San Carlos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sporting FC a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC San Carlos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs San Carlos
1:0
Jan 19, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
3:0
Sep 29, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Sporting FC
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs San Carlos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

San Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 59 / 100
San Carlos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting FC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sporting FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

San Carlos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS San Carlos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 6

San Carlos

(Away)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)