Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting FC vs Saprissa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Puente de Piedra, Grecia
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Leiva G.
28' Event
Soto A.
30' Event
Salas Y.

AI Match Summary

Sporting FC in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
31%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Saprissa have won more games recently than Sporting FC.
  • Sporting FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Saprissa
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.29 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
4:2
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
1:3
Mar 6, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Sporting FC
1:2
Jan 23, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leiva G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salas Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 95 / 100
Saprissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sporting FC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sporting FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Saprissa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
18 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Escorpiones
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Saprissa

(Away)
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
28 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 1
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)