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Sporting Fingal vs Limerick

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2010
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sporting Fingal
20%
Draws
19%
Limerick
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Fingal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Fingal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sporting Fingal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sporting Fingal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Fingal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sporting Fingal Clean Sheet 68%
Limerick Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Fingal Limerick
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2010 FAI Cup
Limerick vs Sporting Fingal
0:1
Aug 27, 2010 FAI Cup
Sporting Fingal vs Limerick
2:2
Oct 20, 2009 Division 1
Sporting Fingal vs Limerick
2:1
Jul 31, 2009 Division 1
Limerick vs Sporting Fingal
1:4
May 1, 2009 Division 1
Sporting Fingal vs Limerick
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Fingal 95 / 100
Limerick 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Fingal Limerick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Fingal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Fingal found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Sporting Fingal stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Limerick has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Limerick
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Fingal

(Home)
29 Oct
Sporting Fingal
4 : 1
UC Dublin
22 Oct
Dundalk
0 : 2
Sporting Fingal
15 Oct
Sporting Fingal
3 : 1
Galway United
09 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 2
Sporting Fingal
02 Oct
Sporting Fingal
2 : 2
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6

Limerick

(Away)
21 Sept
Shelbourne
7 : 0
Limerick
16 Sept
Galway United
3 : 2
Limerick
13 Sept
Limerick
4 : 1
Wexford
24 Aug
Sligo Rovers
6 : 2
Limerick
16 Aug
Limerick
1 : 1
Athlone
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0