Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Ideal vs Montijo

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group G game between Sporting Ideal and Montijo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Ideal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sporting Ideal
15%
Draws
0%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Ideal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Ideal come out ahead of Montijo on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Ideal taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sporting Ideal Clean Sheet 20%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Ideal Montijo
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.15 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Sporting Ideal vs Montijo
4:0
Dec 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Montijo vs Sporting Ideal
2:2
Feb 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sporting Ideal vs Montijo
2:2
Aug 26, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Montijo vs Sporting Ideal
3:0
Mar 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sporting Ideal vs Montijo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Ideal 36 / 100
Montijo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Ideal Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Montijo registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sporting Ideal scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Ideal VS Montijo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Ideal

(Home)
08 May
SC Praiense
3 : 0
Sporting Ideal
01 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Apr
Sporting Ideal
1 : 2
Operario
10 Apr
Sporting Ideal
2 : 4
SC Praiense
03 Apr
CD Rabo Peixe
6 : 0
Sporting Ideal
Page 1 of 7

Montijo

(Away)
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
31 Aug
Charneca Caparica
1 : 0
Montijo
21 Sept
Montijo
1 : 2
Mafra
02 Oct
GD Braganca
1 : 0
Montijo
11 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Montijo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela da Amadora 22 16 5 1 34:12 53
2 Sporting CP B 22 14 7 1 33:7 49
3 Oriental Dragon 22 11 4 7 30:20 37
4 SC Praiense 22 8 8 6 25:23 32
5 Real SC 22 9 5 8 32:23 32
6 GD Fontinhas 22 9 5 8 30:26 32
7 CD Rabo Peixe 22 7 6 9 17:25 27
8 Sporting Ideal 22 5 8 9 26:34 23
9 Belenenses B 22 5 7 10 16:26 22
10 Fabril do Barreiro 22 5 6 11 19:31 21
11 Oriental 22 3 7 12 16:27 16
12 Montijo 22 4 4 14 19:43 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)