Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Ideal vs Sacavenense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E game between Sporting Ideal and Sacavenense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sacavenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sporting Ideal
15%
Draws
57%
Sacavenense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sacavenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sacavenense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sacavenense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Sporting Ideal Clean Sheet 10%
Sacavenense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Ideal Sacavenense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sporting Ideal vs Sacavenense
0:1
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sacavenense vs Sporting Ideal
0:0
Feb 24, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sacavenense vs Sporting Ideal
2:1
Sep 23, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sporting Ideal vs Sacavenense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Ideal 10 / 100
Sacavenense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Ideal Sacavenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sacavenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Sacavenense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sporting Ideal's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sacavenense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Ideal VS Sacavenense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Ideal

(Home)
08 May
SC Praiense
3 : 0
Sporting Ideal
01 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Apr
Sporting Ideal
1 : 2
Operario
10 Apr
Sporting Ideal
2 : 4
SC Praiense
03 Apr
CD Rabo Peixe
6 : 0
Sporting Ideal
Page 1 of 6

Sacavenense

(Away)
30 Aug
Sacavenense
5 : 0
SC Angrense
21 Sept
Sacavenense
2 : 4
Leiria
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Sept
Santarem
2 : 0
Sacavenense
08 May
GS Loures
2 : 0
Sacavenense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 18 10 3 5 25:12 33
2 Pero Pinheiro 18 9 4 5 21:19 31
3 GS Loures 18 9 3 6 29:22 30
4 Sintrense 18 6 11 1 19:12 29
5 Sacavenense 18 7 8 3 16:13 29
6 Operario 18 5 6 7 14:15 21
7 GD Coruchense 18 6 3 9 26:29 21
8 Sporting Ideal 18 4 6 8 22:25 18
9 O Elvas CAD 18 4 5 9 11:25 17
10 CD Rabo Peixe 18 3 5 10 13:24 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)