Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2015/2016

Sporting Ideal

3 - 0

Vigor Mocidade

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Sporting Ideal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Sporting Ideal

15%

Draws

Vigor Mocidade

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Ideal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sporting Ideal come out ahead of Vigor Mocidade on wins alone.
Vigor Mocidade are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Sporting Ideal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sporting Ideal, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Sporting Ideal Clean Sheet 20%

Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Ideal	Vigor Mocidade
Matches Played	31	11
Wins	9	4
Draws	7	0
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.19	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.58	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal

Sporting Ideal vs Vigor Mocidade

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Ideal 16 / 100

Vigor Mocidade 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Ideal Vigor Mocidade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Mocidade Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vigor Mocidade conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.

Vigor Mocidade's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sporting Ideal found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Sporting Ideal VS Vigor Mocidade

1 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Ideal

(Home)

08 May

SC Praiense

3 : 0

Sporting Ideal

01 May

Sporting Ideal

1 : 0

CD Rabo Peixe

24 Apr

Sporting Ideal

1 : 2

Operario

10 Apr

Sporting Ideal

2 : 4

SC Praiense

03 Apr

CD Rabo Peixe

6 : 0

Sporting Ideal

Page 1 of 7

Vigor Mocidade

(Away)

02 Oct

SC Pombal

2 : 0

Vigor Mocidade

11 Sept

Vigor Mocidade

0 : 1

Uniao de Coimbra

06 Sept

Sporting Ideal

3 : 0

Vigor Mocidade

05 Sept

Vigor Mocidade

0 : 1

CD Ribeira Brava

22 Nov

Camacha

1 : 0

Vigor Mocidade

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 3

Oliveira do Douro 4

TBD -

Tondela -

Leiria e Marrazes -

TBD -

SC Mirandela 2

Mondinense 3

Sao Martinho 2

Aroes 0

Amiense -

TBD -

BSAD -

TBD -

Almancilense -

TBD -

Olhanense -

FC Pampilhosa 7

AD Estacao 0

TBD -

Mafra -

Amiense 0

SB Castelo Branco 9

TBD -

Portimonense -

Aves -

TBD -

AD Limianos -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense 4

CF Os Gavionenses 0

AD Pontassolense 0

Minas de Argozelo 4

TBD -

U. Madeira -

Cova De Piedade 1

Torreense 0

Moncarapachense 0

Lusitano VRSA 2

Covilha -

TBD -

Electrico FC 1

Alcanenense 2

Mosteirense -

TBD -

Vigor Mocidade 0

Sporting Ideal 3

TBD -

Nacional -

Boavista -

TBD -

FC Crato 2

Vitoria Sernache 1

GD Alcochetense 0

GS Loures 1

SC Salgueiros 1

Cinfaes 0

Fayal 1

Aguias do Moradal 6

FC Amares 4

Aguia Vimioso 3

Alcains 0

Operario 1

Trofense 1

Sobrado 0

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Pedras Rubras 1

AD Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Sanjoanense 4

Sousense 1

Mosteirense 1

1º Dezembro 4

TBD -

Academica -

Feirense -

TBD -

SC Sabugal -

Castrense 2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

SC Praiense 7

Mira Mar 0

Vitorino de Piaes 0

CDC Montalegre 1

Sacavenense 2

Redondense 0

FC Barreirense 2

Malveira 5

SC Angrense 2

Academica Coimbra SF 1

Almancilense 0

Moura AC 1

Vitorino de Piaes -

TBD -

Sao Roque 0

Torre De Moncorvo 2

Varzim -

TBD -

GD Uniao Torcatense 3

Maria de Fonte 4

TBD -

FC Porto -

Braga -

TBD -

Agueda 4

Trancoso 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Rio Tinto 3

Regua 1

Penalva do Castelo 2

Mortagua FC 3

Oliveira Hospital 2

GD Tourizense 1

TBD -

SC Farense -

Benfica -

TBD -

Bustelo -

TBD -

Neves 0

SC Vianense 1

Vilafranquense -

TBD -

Manteigas -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Amarante FC 3

SC Vila Real 2

TBD -

Sao Roque -

Lusitano FCV 2

Gafanha 0

Vilaverdense FC 1

GD Braganca 2

Lusitania FC 1

Bustelo 0

Carregal do Sal 2

Estarreja 5

TBD -

Maritimo -

Chaves -

TBD -

Tomar 0

Leiria 7

Freamunde -

TBD -

Juv. Evora 0

Louletano 5

Leixoes -

TBD -

Atletico SC 0

Pinhalnovense 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Camacha 2

Pedras Salgadas 1

CD Rabo Peixe 1

Uniao 4

Naval 3

Nogueirense 1

Praia Milfontes 2

Viana Alentejo 3

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Casa Pia 1

Vilafranquense 3

Leiria e Marrazes 0

Alcobaca 1

Real SC 3

Sintrense 1

TBD -

Oriental -

GD Coruchense 2

Povoense 1

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Amora 1

Lagoa 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Manteigas 0

Oliveira de Frades 4

Gafanha -

TBD -

Vizela 0

AD Fafe 1

Caldas SC 2

GD Peniche 1

FC Felgueiras 0

Tirsense 1

GD Alcochetense -

TBD -

AD Limianos 0

Atletico Arcos 1

Gondomar 2

Coimbroes 1

SC Sabugal 3

Anadia 5

TBD -

Estoril -

1/64-finals

Gil Vicente 5

Oliveira do Douro 3

TBD -

Tondela -

Leiria e Marrazes 3

Mondinense 2

Sao Martinho 0

SB Castelo Branco 1

BSAD -

TBD -

Almancilense 0

Olhanense 2

FC Pampilhosa 1

Mafra 0

Amiense 0

Portimonense 1

Aves 1

AD Limianos 0

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense 3

Minas de Argozelo 1

TBD -

U. Madeira -

Cova De Piedade 2

Lusitano VRSA 1

Covilha 2

Alcanenense 3

Mosteirense 2

Sporting Ideal 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Boavista -

TBD -

FC Crato 0

GS Loures 2

SC Salgueiros 2

Aguias do Moradal 1

FC Amares 1

Operario 2

Trofense 3

Atletico CP 2

Pedras Rubras 0

Santa Clara 1

Sanjoanense 3

1º Dezembro 2

TBD -

Academica -

Feirense 2

SC Sabugal 0

Castrense 0

Famalicao 5

SC Praiense 4

CDC Montalegre 0

Sacavenense 0

Malveira 3

SC Angrense 2

Moura AC 1

Vitorino de Piaes 0

Torre De Moncorvo 1

Varzim 2

Maria de Fonte 0

TBD -

FC Porto -

Braga -

TBD -

Agueda 0

Academico Viseu 2

Rio Tinto 2

Mortagua FC 1

Oliveira Hospital 3

SC Farense 4

Benfica -

TBD -

Bustelo 2

SC Vianense 3

Vilafranquense 8

Manteigas 1

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Amarante FC 8

Sao Roque 0

Lusitano FCV 1

GD Braganca 4

Lusitania FC 2

Estarreja 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

Chaves 1

Leiria 0

Freamunde 1

Louletano 2

Leixoes 2

Pinhalnovense 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Camacha 1

Uniao 3

Naval 2

Viana Alentejo 1

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Casa Pia 5

Alcobaca 0

Real SC 1

Oriental 3

GD Coruchense 1

Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Penafiel 3

Lagoa 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Coimbroes 1

Oliveira de Frades 0

Gafanha 1

AD Fafe 2

Caldas SC 2

Tirsense 1

GD Alcochetense 0

Atletico Arcos 2

Gondomar 3

Anadia 1

TBD -

Estoril -

1/32-finals

Gil Vicente 2

Tondela 1

Leiria e Marrazes 1

SB Castelo Branco 5

BSAD 1

Olhanense 0

FC Pampilhosa 0

Portimonense 5

Aves 3

Moreirense 2

Sertanense 1

U. Madeira 5

Cova De Piedade 4

Alcanenense 3

Mosteirense 0

Nacional 6

Boavista 2

GS Loures 1

SC Salgueiros 0

Operario 1

Trofense 1

Santa Clara 0

Sanjoanense 1

Academica 5

Feirense 2

Famalicao 1

SC Praiense 0

Malveira 3

SC Angrense 4

Torre De Moncorvo 1

Varzim 0

FC Porto 2

Braga 3

Academico Viseu 0

Rio Tinto 0

SC Farense 1

Benfica 2

SC Vianense 1

Vilafranquense 0

Sporting CP 4

Amarante FC 3

GD Braganca 2

Lusitania FC 0

Maritimo 2

Chaves 5

Louletano 0

Leixoes 1

Arouca 2

Rio Ave 3

Uniao 0

Naval 1

Pacos Ferreira 7

Casa Pia 3

Oriental 1

GD Coruchense 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Penafiel 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Coimbroes 2

AD Fafe 3

Caldas SC 3

Atletico Arcos 0

Gondomar 0

Estoril 1

1/16-finals

Gil Vicente 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

BSAD 2

Portimonense 3

Aves 4

U. Madeira 3

Cova De Piedade 0

Nacional 5

Boavista 1

Operario 0

Trofense 0

Academica 1

Feirense 1

Malveira 0

SC Angrense 0

FC Porto 2

Braga 1

SC Farense 0

Benfica 1

Sporting CP 2

Amarante FC 1

Maritimo 0

Chaves 0

Arouca 1

Rio Ave 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Casa Pia 0

Vitoria Setubal 1

Penafiel 2

AD Fafe 1

Caldas SC 0

Estoril 1

1/8-finals

Gil Vicente 2

Portimonense 1

Aves 2

Nacional 3

Boavista 1

Academica 0

Feirense 0

FC Porto 1

Braga 4

Sporting CP 3

Amarante FC 1

Arouca 2

Rio Ave 2

Vitoria Setubal 1

Penafiel 0

Estoril 1

Quarter-finals

Gil Vicente 1

Nacional 0

Boavista 0

FC Porto 1

Braga 2

Arouca 0

Rio Ave 3

Estoril 0

Semi-finals

Gil Vicente 0

FC Porto 5

Braga 1

Rio Ave 0

Final

FC Porto 2

Braga 3

Sporting Ideal vs Vigor Mocidade

Portugal

Sporting Ideal

Vigor Mocidade

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Ideal

Vigor Mocidade

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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