Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Jax vs Indy Eleven

USA USA

USL Championship Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Wilson D.
29'
Sub
Somersall R. In: Neville H.
Out: Somersall R.
60'
Sub
Kibunguchy N. In: Rasheed M.
Out: Kibunguchy N.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Sporting Jax and Indy Eleven finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indy Eleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sporting Jax
20%
Draws
36%
Indy Eleven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Jax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Jax haven't matched Indy Eleven's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Indy Eleven taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Jax Indy Eleven
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Indy Eleven
0:1
May 9, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Sporting Jax
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Jax 10 / 100
Indy Eleven 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Jax Indy Eleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indy Eleven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sporting Jax scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Sporting Jax remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Jax VS Indy Eleven
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Jax

(Home)
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3
Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6

Indy Eleven

(Away)
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2
Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2
Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 25 15 6 4 45:23 51
2 Charleston 25 13 4 8 50:31 43
3 Detroit City 24 11 7 6 29:19 40
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 26 11 5 10 28:26 38
5 Hartford Athletic 25 9 11 5 27:24 38
6 Louisville City 25 10 6 9 41:40 36
7 Indy Eleven 24 9 6 9 32:29 33
8 Rhode Island 23 9 5 9 35:26 32
9 Miami FC 25 6 9 10 30:43 27
10 Birmingham Legion 25 4 11 10 36:42 23
11 Loudoun United 24 3 11 10 27:42 20
12 Brooklyn FC 25 4 6 15 25:49 18
13 Sporting Jax 25 3 5 17 30:65 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 25 14 4 7 44:31 46
2 New Mexico 24 12 7 5 37:27 43
3 Colorado Springs 25 11 5 9 40:37 38
4 Lexington 25 11 4 10 43:30 37
5 FC Tulsa 24 10 7 7 29:23 37
6 Sacramento Republic 24 9 10 5 30:20 37
7 San Antonio FC 25 9 10 6 29:28 37
8 Orange County SC 25 9 9 7 34:40 36
9 Las Vegas Lights 25 9 6 10 32:35 33
10 Phoenix Rising 25 8 9 8 35:35 33
11 Oakland Roots 25 7 9 9 30:35 30
12 Monterey Bay 25 4 6 15 25:43 18
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)