Sport Picks
Sporting Jax vs Loudoun United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL 
Match Events
4'
4'
Davis III E.
Assist: Niyongabire P.
30'
30'
Kuzain W.
Assist: Jaaskelainen E.
46'
46'
Sub
Zouhir R. In: Lomtadze G.
Out: Zouhir R.
AI Match Summary
Loudoun United in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loudoun United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loudoun United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Loudoun United lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Jax.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Loudoun United taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Jax | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.54 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Loudoun United
1:4
Jul 3, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Sporting Jax
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Jax Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzain W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Davis III E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Torres C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
Loudoun United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Jax Loudoun United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Loudoun United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Loudoun United has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Away concern: Loudoun United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Sporting Jax found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Sporting Jax VS Loudoun United
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Jax
(Home) 30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
18 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
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Loudoun United
(Away) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
15 Aug
Detroit City
0 : 0 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
