Sport Picks
Sporting Jax vs Louisville City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL 
AI Match Summary
Sporting Jax host Louisville City in the USL Championship. Louisville City go into this one as the clear favorite. Sporting Jax have averaged 1.11 scored and 2.59 conceded recently, against Louisville City's 1.64 scored and 1.27 conceded. Head-to-head, Sporting Jax have won 0 to Louisville City's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.00) point toward Louisville City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Louisville City lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Jax.
- Model gives Louisville City a 85% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Jax | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 33 |
| Wins | 4 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.59 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Louisville City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.
Sporting Jax's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Louisville City's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Jax
(Home)Louisville City
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53:34 | 47 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:30 | 41 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 31:29 | 40 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34:45 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | 26 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 32:74 | 14 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
