Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Jax vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

USA USA

USL Championship Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Amann T.
Assist: Goldthorp E.
46'
Rose T.
51' Event
Sadlier K.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Sporting Jax and Pittsburgh Riverhounds finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Jax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sporting Jax
20%
Draws
46%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pittsburgh Riverhounds come out ahead of Sporting Jax on wins alone.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 13%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Jax Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.46 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting Jax
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Jax Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadlier K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Amann T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Jax 22 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Jax Pittsburgh Riverhounds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sporting Jax's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sporting Jax stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Jax VS Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Jax

(Home)
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3
Sporting Jax
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1
Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Away)
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
27 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
22 Aug
Brooklyn FC
0 : 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 24 14 6 4 41:23 48
2 Charleston 24 12 4 8 49:31 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 11 5 9 28:25 38
4 Detroit City 23 10 7 6 28:19 37
5 Hartford Athletic 23 8 10 5 24:23 34
6 Louisville City 24 9 6 9 39:39 33
7 Rhode Island 22 9 5 8 34:24 32
8 Indy Eleven 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
9 Miami FC 24 5 9 10 28:42 24
10 Loudoun United 23 3 11 9 26:40 20
11 Birmingham Legion 22 3 10 9 28:34 19
12 Brooklyn FC 22 4 5 13 23:39 17
13 Sporting Jax 24 3 5 16 30:63 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 24 13 4 7 41:30 43
2 New Mexico 22 12 5 5 33:23 41
3 Colorado Springs 24 11 4 9 40:37 37
4 FC Tulsa 23 10 6 7 27:21 36
5 Sacramento Republic 23 9 9 5 30:20 36
6 San Antonio FC 24 9 9 6 29:28 36
7 Orange County SC 24 9 9 6 34:34 36
8 Lexington 24 10 4 10 37:30 34
9 Phoenix Rising 24 8 9 7 34:32 33
10 Las Vegas Lights 24 9 5 10 31:34 32
11 Oakland Roots 24 6 9 9 29:35 27
12 Monterey Bay 24 4 6 14 25:42 18
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)