Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Jax vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

USA USA

USL Championship Hodges Stadium
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Jax play Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are favorites here. Recently, Sporting Jax averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Pittsburgh Riverhounds averaged 1.35 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Jax won 0, Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sporting Jax and 1.63 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. This points to a Pittsburgh Riverhounds double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sporting Jax
15%
Draws
65%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Jax picked up more points recently compared to Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 14%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Jax Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 5 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting Jax
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Jax 21 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Jax Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Pittsburgh Riverhounds & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sporting Jax attacking → ← attacking Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sporting Jax went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 64
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215