Sport Picks
Sporting Jax vs Rhode Island
USA
USL Championship Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL 
Match Events
30'
30'
Nodarse F.
38'
38'
Tsukada Y.
Assist: Leo Afonso
54'
54'
Sub
Pedder R. In: Al Qaq A.
Out: Pedder R.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Sporting Jax and Rhode Island finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rhode Island.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rhode Island
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rhode Island carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Rhode Island a 46% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 12%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Jax | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.46 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Rhode Island
0:3
Mar 14, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Jax Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Rhode Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsukada Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Korzeniowski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Jax 19 / 100
Rhode Island 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Jax Rhode Island
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rhode Island Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Jax's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Rhode Island has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Sporting Jax went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Jax VS Rhode Island
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Jax
(Home) 12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
18 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 3
Rhode Island
(Away) 12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49:31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24:23 | 34 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 33 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:24 | 32 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:42 | 24 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26:40 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28:34 | 19 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23:39 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30:63 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:30 | 43 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33:23 | 41 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:21 | 36 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:20 | 36 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:28 | 36 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Lexington | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37:30 | 34 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29:35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:42 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
