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Sporting Jax W vs Carolina Ascent W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Jax W host Carolina Ascent W in the USL Super League Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sporting Jax W at 1.87 goals for, 1 against; Carolina Ascent W at 1.39 for, 0.68 against. Past meetings favor Sporting Jax W slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Carolina Ascent W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sporting Jax W
30%
Draws
51%
Carolina Ascent W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carolina Ascent W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carolina Ascent W come out ahead of Sporting Jax W on wins alone.
  • Carolina Ascent W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sporting Jax W Clean Sheet 16%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Jax W Carolina Ascent W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.87 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Sporting Jax W
3:3
May 24, 2026 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
May 16, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Sporting Jax W
3:1
Jan 31, 2026 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Sporting Jax W
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Jax W 28 / 100
Carolina Ascent W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Jax W Carolina Ascent W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carolina Ascent W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sporting Jax W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Carolina Ascent W let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Jax W VS Carolina Ascent W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Jax W

(Home)
16 Oct
Sporting Jax W
4 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3
Sporting Jax W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
13 Sept
Brooklyn W
3 : 2
Sporting Jax W
04 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Sporting Jax W
Page 1 of 6

Carolina Ascent W

(Away)
16 Oct
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
DC Power W
10 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 3
Carolina Ascent W
26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3
Sporting Jax W
19 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
2 Sporting Jax W 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
3 Lexington W 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Dallas Trinity W 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 DC Power W 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
7 Brooklyn W 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 9 2 0 7 7:16 6
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)