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Sporting Jax W vs Dallas Trinity W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
DeSmit B.
Assist: Puerta A.
61'
Sub
Cheesman S. In: Nagai A.
Out: Cheesman S.
71'
Sub
Phillpotts G. In: Swinton M.
Out: Phillpotts G.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women game between Sporting Jax W and Dallas Trinity W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Jax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sporting Jax W
20%
Draws
51%
Dallas Trinity W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dallas Trinity W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Jax W come out ahead of Dallas Trinity W on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Jax W taking it.
  • Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting Jax W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sporting Jax W Clean Sheet 16%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Jax W Dallas Trinity W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Sporting Jax W
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Sporting Jax W
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Dallas Trinity W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Jax W Compare

Top Goalscorer DeSmit B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dallas Trinity W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Jax W 41 / 100
Dallas Trinity W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Jax W Dallas Trinity W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Dallas Trinity W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Sporting Jax W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Jax W VS Dallas Trinity W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Jax W

(Home)
26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3
Sporting Jax W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
13 Sept
Brooklyn W
3 : 2
Sporting Jax W
04 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Sporting Jax W
29 Aug
Sporting Jax W
2 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
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Dallas Trinity W

(Away)
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
18 Sept
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
06 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 0
Brooklyn W
29 Aug
Sporting Jax W
2 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)